New Jersey

Poricy Park

Middletown's family-friendly Cretaceous creek. Smaller than Big Brook but easier with kids. Same age, same star species.

⚠ Partial inputs

today

Prime

Recent storm winds - fresh gravel exposure likely. +10 event boost

Today at a glance

Updated 2026-07-21T08:50:04.602Z

Prime conditions today. Brisk S winds (14 mph) — expect chop; seas around 1 ft.

Next 3 days: Next few days look steady — all prime-range. Pick whatever fits your schedule.

Best Window Today

Daylight hours

This site does not depend on a tidal low. Hunt during the coolest, brightest part of the day and use the wind and conditions notes below.

Hunt score

Prime

Astronomical low

—

No tide window

Low-window wind

0 mph

Light — negligible effect

Tonight's moon

First quarter

49% illuminated

Sunrise 9:45 AM · Sunset 12:22 AM

Wind right now

14 mph from S

Gusts 26 mph

Wind direction matters — check site notes.

Past 7 days

Compare model output to your actual visits.

Next 7 days

Plan a trip →

Tide times: NOAA CO-OPS station 8531680 (Sandy Hook, NJ (regional)) — local time, MLLW datum. Click to verify on NOAA. Cards show LOWS only (best for hunting); highs are visible on the tide curve below.

🌤️ Weather & Wave Forecast

Impact on visibility and stir-up over the next 5 days.

Onshore Wind: Pushes water in (tide sits higher) and stirs up the bottom. Good for "new" teeth, bad for visibility.

Offshore Wind: Water blown out (tide sits lower). Maximum beach exposure for hunting the low tide line.

Why today scores 92

The Hunt Score blends tide range, lunar phase, daylight timing, recent stir, wind setup, and surf.

Best low

No tide-driven low

Wind deviation

Neutral beach by 0.0 ft

Explain this scoreShow breakdown ▾

💡

Analysis

Exceptional. Don't sit on this one.

Inland creek — post-storm

82.0 / 82

Peak gust 35 mph in the past 48h — fresh gravel likely exposed (baseline 60 → 82).

Event boostadded

+10

Manual + auto events.

Show the math

components: 82.0 = 82.0 + event boost +10 = 92.0 final = 92

What's NOT in this score

We are deliberate about which factors to include. These are not currently in the model:

Hunt pressure. A “hunts this week” chip is shown on each location page for transparency, but it does not change the score yet. We need more outcomes per site before a penalty would be statistically meaningful.
Wave period / swell direction. We use wave height only. Long-period groundswell sorts material differently than short wind chop, but Open-Meteo doesn't expose period reliably.
Barometric pressure trend. Falling pressure = approaching storm = building stir. Currently we wait for the wind to actually arrive.
Water temperature, clarity, salinity. Affects comfort but not (directly) what teeth wash up.
Weekday vs weekend. A 70 on Tuesday is often better in practice than a 70 on Saturday because of crowds, but we don't adjust for that.
Beach renourishment. Fresh sand buries everything. We capture this only when an admin logs a manual event — there's no auto-detection.

If you think we should add one of these, log a hunt with notes — every rated outcome helps us decide which signals actually predict tooth count.

Hunt Score

Sum of components + 10 event boost, clamped 0–100.

Score model 2026.04.29 · how this is calculated

Hunted here today?